Liquidity Returns for Forex Scalping

January 4th, 2012

What a difference a few days makes when it comes to the readiness of the market to offer up pips. Just by looking at the Logical Forex Activity Lines, it is so apparent how much more activity – and liquidity – there is in the market.

Ok, so that means it’s time to identify some trades…

 

*** EURUSD MARKET STRUCTURE ***

Structure, Scalping

EURUSD Market Structure - Big Move Down

 

As is evidenced by looking at the market structure, there sure was A LOT of downward movement during the European session. After such a pronounced move, my initial impression was that the highest probability trade would likely be on the buy side. However, I am not going to predict here. I am going to let the market tell me what it wants to do.

Price was interacting at a prime spot – right around a Logical Forex Magnet Line.

Which way, market, which way?

 

*** EURUSD SELL ***

Dance, Scalping

EURUSD Sell Trade

 

Let’s look at the Indicators:

  • Logical Forex Activity Lines – Enough activity to warrant a further look.
  • Logical Forex Flow Lines – Price started a move down, then hesitated (notice the stacking yellow?) then started to continue down some more. It is clear that price, at least at the moment, is going down. The black spine is fully revealed.
  • Logical Forex Phase – Tracking nicely with price. Nothing to cause any alarm.
  • Logical Forex Bias – Supporting the southward direction of price.
  • Logical Forex Magnet Lines – A nice, super-tight Magnet Line Dance right on the line. Notice how, after the slight pullback, price was ready to do its’ thing.

This trade was entered around the arrow, just as it had gone through the Magnet Line.

 

*** EURUSD EXIT ***

Scalp Exit

EURUSD Exit

 

Price took off quickly. As it approached the next Magnet Line, I was ready to exit with even the slightest hint that price was bouncing back. As is often the case (just check prior blog posts) price went through the next Magnet Line. I was then expecting a pullback to that line and would have exited had it pulled back beyond the Magnet Line. Luckily, it continued a bit further down, and you can see the exit around the green arrow.

Now, you can also see that price continued on for quite a bit more pippage. Of course, it’s easy to look at the chart post-mortem and wonder why I left so much money on the table. The honest answer is that when you are in a trade, you don’t know what is going to happen. Yes, I could have held on and captured more pips. I could have also just as easily ended up with a break-even or – worse – a losing trade. All pips are good pips. All profit is good. Large lot trades are awesome. Compounding is my friend.

Happy trading!

-Scott

 

The Impatient Forex Scalper

December 30th, 2011

So, it is a few days before a major holiday. You are a store owner. You’ve been open for nearly half the day and hardly anybody has walked into your store. What’s worse, of the few that have walked in, only two have purchased anything – and what they bought isn’t even enough to cover the cost of the electricity and the staff you have on hand.

So, what do you do? Do you shutter your business, fire your employees, and move on to something else?

Of course, you are likely thinking that would be a very stupid thing to do. It’s only temporary, you say. More customers will come in. Maybe just close up early today, and try again tomorrow. Maybe tomorrow will be a better day.There are ups and downs in any business. You can’t make a great profit every single day.

That’s the way a true professional, a business-person, looks at things.

Do YOU look at your forex trading like a business? Sadly, many people do not.

For instance, I can’t tell you how many people will have forced a trade during this week – one of the lightest liquidity weeks of the year – just because they WANT to trade. Nevermind the fact that the market (their customers) aren’t in the store – and definitely aren’t ready to buy. Wouldn’t that be like walking out onto the street in front of your business – and forcing people into your store against their will? How would that go over? Not so well, right?

Or, those folks that say, “but I need to make 30 pips per day today.” I am sure the business owner also need to make $300 USD today, but, again, sometimes it just doesn’t work that way. Today, you may lose money. Tomorrow, you may break even. The next trading day, you may sell that big, high-priced whatever to some out-of-town visitor to your store.

This reminds me of something I read not that long ago: “Keeping your money in cash (i.e. just sitting in your trading account) is sometimes the very best position you can take.”

Remember, it’s all about how much you have made over weeks, months, and years. It’s not how much you made today, yesterday, or tomorrow. I do think that is the hardest thing for folks that scalp the forex market to remember. Even though we are only in trades for mere seconds or minutes – we are watching our account grow over time. Looking at it any other way is, in my opinion, putting far too much pressure on you. Pressure is not good. Scalping in a relaxed, almost zen-like fashion is better. In fact, once you reach that level, you will have officially graduated to a professional business-person (forex trader).

So, tell me, do YOU view your forex scalping as a game…or a business? As we ready ourselves for 2012 in just a few days, really think about this.It could make all the difference in your trading.

Happy New Year!

-Scott

Nobody to Play Forex Scalping Games

December 27th, 2011

Wow! I cannot believe that Christmas has already come and gone!! I have had the best of intentions to post several blogs over the last few weeks, but…

that obviously didn’t occur. As it turns out, intentions won’t actually sit down and write a blog post for me. : )

As is often the case, the forex market simply isn’t as active during the weeks around Thanksgiving until after Christmas. Remembering that the forex market is simply ‘people’ – it makes sense that these ‘people’ may still be on vacation. Doesn’t it?

Today is the first day that I sat down to look at the charts for several weeks. I was ‘thinking’ about forex scalping. I was starting to get that itch. I wanted to scalp – now.

Here’s what I saw when I looked at EURUSD a few moments ago.

*** EURUSD MARKET STRUCTURE ***

Scalping, Market Structure

EURUSD Market Structure

 

Market structure was hovering near a Magnet Line towards the center of the chart. I’ve traded here many, many times before. This ‘looks’ like a tradeable opportunity. Let’s take a closer look.

 

*** EURUSD ZOOMED IN ***

Scalping, Activity Lines

EURUSD Zoomed In

 

Ugh. This looks terrible. Just look at those Logical Forex Activity Lines – look how narrow they are. For every 6 minutes of time that passes, there is hardly anything going on with price. This is untradeable. There is nobody out there to play Forex Scalping Games with me!

Despite the obvious itch I had to trade, I didn’t. Even if everything else looked perfect (which it didn’t, by the way) the lack of market activity (as represented by quickly eyeballing the Logical Forex Activity Lines) was enough to keep me from even opening up my broker quote panel.

Beyond looking at Market Structure, the Logical Forex Activity Lines are the next thing I look at when deciding if it makes sense to consider a trade. Since they looked unfavorable (horrible, actually) there was no sense whatsoever to look at anything else. It was time for me to walk away. As you probably know, the longer you stare at a chart, the harder it is to sit on the sidelines. That’s why I minimized the chart and moved on to something else.

I should also mention that our other currency pair, EURJPY, looked similar in its nastiness. : )

***

It is doubtful that there will be many great trading opportunities this week, but I am going to keep on the lookout nevertheless.

Even if I can’t post trades that I took, I will still post another blog or two this week – addressing some things I have on my list that I want to tell you about.

For those of you who are still looking to start trading forex, and have not yet dipped your toe in the Logical Forex pool, then the time is now! Take a test drive with a Logical Forex Trial – and see if Logical Forex scalping is the kind of trading that will work for you.

2012 is right around the corner. It’s time to start honing some skills that will pay you back for many, many years to come.

-Scott